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Red175
6149101.4
4590131.6
3316141.1
Blue463
3211134.8
1657157.6
1577165.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266339100200300400500600175463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#11
141.13.2
132.3135.5
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
blue by 23.9
165.05.6
134.7140.3
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
Second
4590
#20
131.61.9
128.9130.9
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1
blue by 26.0
157.64.1
142.2146.4
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
Third
6149
#17
101.40.5
110.1109.5
Auto12.1
Teleop86.3
End1.1
blue by 33.5
134.80.5
133.2132.6
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned