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Red278
1690148.5
3034139.5
2230119.5
Blue294
6168117.0
6104157.8
7112103.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162500100200400500278294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.51.4
153.3151.9
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
blue by 9.3
157.86.7
136.6143.2
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
Second
3034
#18
139.53.4
131.9135.3
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
red by 22.4
6168
#26
117.01.0
115.0114.0
Auto14.8
Teleop91.1
End10.7
Third
2230
#16
119.50.6
115.9116.5
Auto15.4
Teleop97.6
End3.6
red by 16.5
103.00.5
100.6101.0
Auto15.2
Teleop85.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed