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Red315
2679123.1
1576105.5
3034139.5
Blue197
1690148.5
6738124.9
464982.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288286200220240260280300320315197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#18
139.52.4
135.3137.7
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
blue by 9.0
148.50.6
151.9151.2
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Second
2679
#21
123.10.1
121.6121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop94.5
End14.4
blue by 1.8
6738
#19
124.90.8
123.7124.5
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
Third
1576
#28
105.51.3
103.4104.6
Auto17.0
Teleop80.2
End6.0
red by 23.3
4649
#31
82.21.9
85.883.9
Auto12.5
Teleop67.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed