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Red313
1657157.6
1574190.2
6149101.4
Blue189
5928110.1
6738124.9
6104157.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042790100200400500600700313189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.212.3
108.8121.1
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 32.5
157.815.4
79.695.0
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
Second
157.67.8
105.4113.2
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
red by 32.7
6738
#19
124.915.0
83.298.3
Auto15.4
Teleop96.1
End15.4
Third
6149
#17
101.416.2
72.688.9
Auto12.1
Teleop86.3
End1.1
blue by 8.7
5928
#34
110.111.4
96.3107.7
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed