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Red218
3211134.8
6741117.9
5990125.9
Blue272
5636105.7
7112103.0
3034139.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912300100400500600700800218272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.89.6
107.1116.7
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
blue by 4.6
3034
#18
139.511.4
96.3107.7
Auto13.8
Teleop109.1
End14.8
Second
5990
#14
125.98.5
97.3105.8
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1
red by 20.2
5636
#25
105.79.7
75.785.4
Auto14.6
Teleop91.2
End-0.8
Third
6741
#24
117.98.5
89.798.2
Auto16.4
Teleop88.7
End12.5
red by 14.9
103.09.2
77.786.9
Auto15.2
Teleop85.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed