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Red381
3075143.5
2231157.2
4320122.9
Blue301
7039107.3
5654155.3
1942138.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344313100200400500600700381301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.5
156.2156.7
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
red by 1.8
5654
#11
155.31.4
152.6154.0
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
Second
143.51.0
141.5142.5
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 5.1
1942
#18
138.31.1
136.3137.3
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
Third
4320
#33
122.90.3
122.3122.6
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 15.7
7039
#28
107.30.3
106.6107.0
Auto15.5
Teleop89.5
End3.2