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Red45
7177132.1
466198.7
6230106.3
Blue340
2231157.2
195499.1
3065145.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239302010020040050060045340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7177
#22DQ
132.149.5
127.277.7
Auto15.5
Teleop94.5
End23.3
blue by 25.1
157.214.3
89.8104.1
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
Second
6230
#27
106.317.8
59.076.7
Auto13.0
Teleop87.7
End2.9
blue by 39.5
145.815.4
79.795.2
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
Third
4661
#34
98.717.2
63.680.9
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
blue by 0.4
1954
#36DQ
99.117.7
59.577.2
Auto13.7
Teleop87.7
End-6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed