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Red218
3075143.5
3065145.8
6741118.4
Blue454
3388126.5
2679152.2
3835135.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288286200250300350400450218454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.811.9
95.2107.0
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
blue by 6.5
152.20.9
123.9124.8
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
Second
143.510.8
93.1103.9
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 7.9
135.615.3
80.595.8
Auto17.6
Teleop106.0
End12.5
Third
6741
#20
118.41.1
118.1116.9
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5
blue by 8.1
3388
#17
126.59.5
90.199.6
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed