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Red263
431992.3
5135112.6
2096130.7
Blue370
1580104.3
5614152.7
3083127.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278288200250300350400263370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#19
130.75.7
110.5116.2
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
blue by 21.9
152.711.5
96.6108.1
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
Second
5135
#35
112.612.9
80.593.4
Auto14.0
Teleop84.4
End16.2
blue by 15.1
3083
#15
127.75.3
103.7108.9
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
Third
4319
#32
92.31.2
103.0104.2
Auto16.4
Teleop76.3
End-2.4
blue by 12.0
1580
#30
104.36.0
92.298.2
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed