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Red169
614996.2
5715111.5
466198.7
Blue456
5614152.7
6230106.3
1942138.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2092890100400500600169456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#25
111.51.3
108.8110.0
Auto16.1
Teleop88.0
End8.6
blue by 41.2
152.79.1
108.1117.2
Auto18.8
Teleop115.2
End16.5
Second
4661
#34
98.72.5
94.296.7
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
blue by 39.6
1942
#18
138.32.6
101.9104.5
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
Third
6149
#21
96.21.4
98.497.0
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End0.3
blue by 10.1
6230
#27
106.33.6
91.795.3
Auto13.0
Teleop87.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed