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Red307
5654155.3
4320122.9
3065145.8
Blue331
1576109.6
5987141.8
6736116.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320243100200400500600307331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#11
155.38.8
114.8123.5
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
red by 13.6
5987
#16
141.85.2
111.6116.9
Auto20.5
Teleop111.8
End10.4
Second
145.86.9
113.3120.2
Auto16.5
Teleop111.6
End17.6
red by 29.4
6736
#13
116.40.5
117.8118.4
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
Third
4320
#33
122.93.2
111.3114.4
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 13.4
1576
#14
109.60.2
104.7104.9
Auto18.3
Teleop82.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed