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Red328
4320122.9
5747114.8
3388126.5
Blue287
2679152.2
464993.7
614996.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922310400600800328287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#17
126.52.7
116.2118.9
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
blue by 25.7
152.22.4
129.3131.7
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
Second
4320
#33
122.93.7
114.4118.1
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 26.8
6149
#21
96.21.5
97.095.5
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End0.3
Third
5747
#24
114.80.4
110.0109.6
Auto16.2
Teleop90.6
End7.7
red by 21.1
4649
#23
93.71.3
84.785.9
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed