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Red252
1942138.3
3388126.5
466198.7
Blue104
3083127.7
431992.3
6736116.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278280150200250300350400252104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#18
138.32.7
110.6113.3
Auto18.8
Teleop104.5
End20.5
red by 10.7
3083
#15
127.75.7
118.2123.8
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
Second
3388
#17
126.53.4
118.9122.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
red by 10.1
6736
#13
116.41.1
121.1122.2
Auto13.6
Teleop94.4
End9.2
Third
4661
#34
98.70.5
97.497.9
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
red by 6.5
4319
#32
92.31.5
103.3101.7
Auto16.4
Teleop76.3
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed