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Red304
5654155.3
1580104.3
3075143.5
Blue353
3083127.7
466198.7
5635140.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892660100200400500600700304353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#11
155.30.2
135.9136.0
Auto22.1
Teleop110.9
End27.2
red by 14.9
140.42.0
132.1134.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
Second
143.52.3
118.0120.3
Auto20.1
Teleop108.8
End18.6
red by 15.8
3083
#15
127.70.2
123.8123.6
Auto15.7
Teleop97.8
End13.2
Third
1580
#30
104.31.2
104.6105.8
Auto11.6
Teleop83.0
End7.2
red by 5.5
4661
#34
98.70.2
97.998.1
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed