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Red336
4744110.1
5554142.5
464993.7
Blue270
2679152.2
466198.7
6741118.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270320100200400500336270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#10
142.52.9
131.4134.3
Auto16.9
Teleop106.3
End20.0
blue by 9.7
152.22.6
137.6140.2
Auto21.1
Teleop108.7
End26.7
Second
4744
#26
110.11.7
110.9109.2
Auto13.8
Teleop84.2
End12.5
blue by 8.3
6741
#20
118.40.1
114.3114.4
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End15.5
Third
4649
#23
93.71.2
89.290.5
Auto13.8
Teleop71.6
End10.9
blue by 5.1
4661
#34
98.72.3
98.1100.4
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed