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Red288
7177132.1
5635140.4
4320122.9
Blue371
4416115.5
2096130.7
3388126.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330266100200300400500600288371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.40.9
137.8138.8
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End13.7
red by 9.7
2096
#19
130.71.2
126.4127.7
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
Second
7177
#22
132.12.8
124.9127.7
Auto15.5
Teleop94.5
End23.3
red by 5.6
3388
#17
126.50.8
126.5125.7
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End13.1
Third
4320
#33
122.91.8
125.5123.7
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
red by 7.4
4416
#29
115.50.1
114.1114.0
Auto14.1
Teleop91.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed