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Red278
2096130.7
1576109.6
3339145.2
Blue193
2231157.2
4320122.9
466198.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278281200220240260300320340360278193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.27.0
121.4128.4
Auto28.2
Teleop109.1
End5.2
blue by 12.0
157.211.2
104.1115.3
Auto21.7
Teleop120.7
End14.3
Second
2096
#19
130.77.7
102.8110.5
Auto16.4
Teleop96.9
End18.0
red by 7.8
4320
#33
122.96.4
101.5107.9
Auto12.6
Teleop96.2
End14.3
Third
1576
#14
109.60.0
104.5104.5
Auto18.3
Teleop82.4
End11.6
red by 10.8
4661
#34
98.78.6
80.989.4
Auto12.7
Teleop76.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed