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Red425
2230130.6
5654186.3
5135110.7
Blue198
4590124.1
7067124.3
6738118.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376259100200300500600425198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.3
184.0184.4
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 62.0
7067
#13
124.30.3
124.0124.3
Auto17.6
Teleop90.4
End15.6
Second
130.60.4
127.9128.3
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
red by 6.5
4590
#15
124.10.0
124.0124.1
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
Third
5135
#23
110.70.2
109.1109.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
blue by 8.2
6738
#27
118.90.6
119.6118.9
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8