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Red320
3034147.4
3075169.8
6736114.5
Blue374
3083136.1
1690164.3
6740128.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313335100200400500600700320374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.2
169.6169.8
Auto24.3
Teleop124.6
End22.5
red by 5.5
164.30.8
161.1161.9
Auto24.1
Teleop126.6
End13.7
Second
3034
#10
147.40.3
147.1147.4
Auto16.3
Teleop117.2
End13.9
red by 11.3
136.10.0
135.9135.9
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Third
6736
#20
114.50.2
114.3114.5
Auto15.5
Teleop89.1
End11.2
blue by 13.9
6740
#25
128.40.2
128.9128.7
Auto12.8
Teleop102.6
End9.7