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Red427
4586138.0
3316168.8
158096.0
Blue141
1657170.1
2212138.8
7112106.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320304150200250350400450427141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.80.8
163.6164.3
Auto23.2
Teleop122.0
End24.7
blue by 1.2
1657
#12
170.10.3
170.7170.4
Auto22.2
Teleop123.4
End21.7
Second
4586
#14
138.00.6
133.5134.1
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
blue by 0.9
138.80.0
139.0139.0
Auto25.8
Teleop103.9
End9.5
Third
1580
#19
96.00.1
95.895.7
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5
blue by 10.7
7112
#26
106.70.0
106.7106.8
Auto17.0
Teleop84.6
End4.5