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Red399
4590124.1
1690164.3
6738118.9
Blue116
194492.2
7067124.3
1573118.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292550100200300400500600399116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.30.2
146.5146.3
Auto24.1
Teleop126.6
End13.7
red by 40.0
7067
#13
124.30.3
121.1121.4
Auto17.6
Teleop90.4
End15.6
Second
4590
#15
124.11.7
129.6127.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.4
End10.3
red by 5.2
1573
#17
118.98.8
95.9104.7
Auto14.0
Teleop91.3
End13.5
Third
6738
#27
118.90.5
124.8125.4
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8
red by 26.7
1944
#32
92.27.9
92.5100.4
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed