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Red80
728691.1
4784101.0
5135110.7
Blue410
158096.0
7302114.1
1574211.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211374010030050060080410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#23
110.70.2
112.8112.6
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
blue by 101.2
211.92.9
194.6197.5
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
Second
4784
#29
101.012.0
88.4100.3
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
blue by 13.1
7302
#21
114.17.2
87.594.7
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End10.2
Third
7286
#30
91.11.5
92.093.5
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
blue by 4.9
1580
#19
96.01.2
102.0100.9
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed