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Red286
5654186.3
4784101.0
194492.2
Blue283
728691.1
2230130.6
2212138.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309280150200250350400450500286283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.33.4
166.1169.4
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 47.5
138.81.0
138.5139.5
Auto25.8
Teleop103.9
End9.5
Second
4784
#29
101.04.6
100.3104.9
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End1.6
blue by 29.5
130.62.0
121.1123.2
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
Third
1944
#32
92.21.8
103.6101.8
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
red by 1.1
7286
#30
91.12.2
93.591.4
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed