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Red298
4586138.0
6740128.4
728691.1
Blue279
5135110.7
7112106.7
3034147.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273269100200300400500298279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#14
138.02.6
126.5129.0
Auto16.1
Teleop104.2
End18.3
blue by 9.5
3034
#10
147.40.4
145.1145.5
Auto16.3
Teleop117.2
End13.9
Second
6740
#25
128.41.1
131.1130.1
Auto12.8
Teleop102.6
End9.7
red by 17.7
5135
#23
110.70.1
107.8107.9
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
Third
7286
#30
91.10.4
88.488.8
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
blue by 15.6
7112
#26
106.70.1
105.2105.1
Auto17.0
Teleop84.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed