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Red207
194492.2
728691.1
5990141.4
Blue378
6739108.1
3075169.8
3034147.4
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483300100200300400500600207378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#11
141.41.1
125.9126.9
Auto15.9
Teleop104.6
End23.1
blue by 28.4
169.82.9
143.5146.3
Auto24.3
Teleop124.6
End22.5
Second
1944
#32
92.217.1
65.082.1
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
blue by 55.2
3034
#10
147.40.5
139.5139.0
Auto16.3
Teleop117.2
End13.9
Third
7286
#30
91.121.2
98.977.7
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
blue by 17.0
6739
#22
108.117.2
63.881.0
Auto16.3
Teleop83.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed