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Red418
1574211.9
5135110.7
3075169.8
Blue194
6738118.9
728691.1
3083136.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511990100300400500600700418194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.91.5
208.5210.1
Auto26.2
Teleop153.0
End35.5
red by 75.8
136.10.4
135.5135.9
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Second
169.80.6
168.8169.4
Auto24.3
Teleop124.6
End22.5
red by 50.8
6738
#27
118.91.5
121.5120.0
Auto19.1
Teleop89.2
End7.8
Third
5135
#23
110.70.5
108.5108.9
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
red by 19.6
7286
#30
91.11.2
89.891.1
Auto13.3
Teleop71.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed