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Red207
158096.0
194492.2
5636112.6
Blue317
6740128.4
3083136.1
7177129.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013650100300400500207317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5636
#16
112.60.3
105.4105.7
Auto17.0
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 23.6
136.10.8
127.7128.5
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Second
1580
#19
96.02.2
104.3102.0
Auto12.5
Teleop76.5
End5.5
blue by 32.9
7177
#24
129.01.4
133.0134.4
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End17.3
Third
1944
#32
92.210.4
82.192.5
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End5.7
blue by 36.2
6740
#25
128.42.3
140.5138.2
Auto12.8
Teleop102.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed