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Red313
2230130.6
5654186.3
5135110.7
Blue287
3083136.1
1690164.3
6740128.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315352100200400500600700313287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.30.4
185.1185.5
Auto24.5
Teleop129.3
End34.0
red by 22.0
164.30.7
163.6164.3
Auto24.1
Teleop126.6
End13.7
Second
130.60.5
129.2129.6
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End9.5
blue by 5.6
136.10.0
136.1136.1
Auto16.9
Teleop101.2
End19.6
Third
5135
#23
110.70.3
109.8110.1
Auto17.1
Teleop79.7
End16.3
blue by 17.7
6740
#25
128.40.1
128.5128.4
Auto12.8
Teleop102.6
End9.7