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Red326
3339164.5
1577183.8
1942144.9
Blue286
3835164.8
5987165.3
4744118.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390315100200500600700326286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.80.6
183.3183.8
Auto23.8
Teleop133.4
End30.0
red by 18.6
165.30.7
164.6165.3
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
Second
164.50.7
163.7164.5
Auto29.0
Teleop121.8
End16.2
blue by 0.3
164.80.8
163.9164.8
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
Third
1942
#20
144.90.1
144.8144.9
Auto19.2
Teleop104.4
End21.8
red by 26.9
4744
#23
118.00.4
117.6118.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0