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Red409
7039128.1
5614167.5
5928114.3
Blue218
4416132.4
5715121.7
3388119.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369276100200400500600700409218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.50.4
165.7166.1
Auto22.3
Teleop125.3
End21.8
red by 35.1
4416
#16
132.40.1
132.7132.5
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End12.9
Second
7039
#10
128.10.9
124.3125.3
Auto17.1
Teleop100.7
End15.8
red by 6.4
121.70.6
120.5121.1
Auto19.1
Teleop93.7
End11.4
Third
5928
#15
114.30.8
111.2112.0
Auto15.4
Teleop89.7
End14.1
blue by 5.4
3388
#24
119.80.1
119.6119.7
Auto17.0
Teleop91.3
End13.2