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Red398
5554152.0
2630175.8
1573122.9
Blue210
2231160.2
6230117.9
4320127.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384270100200500600700800398210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.8
174.2175.0
Auto20.2
Teleop135.3
End22.9
red by 15.6
2231
#14
160.20.2
160.8160.6
Auto23.0
Teleop127.0
End8.2
Second
152.00.4
151.1151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop108.8
End26.5
red by 24.6
4320
#25
127.40.3
128.6128.3
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Third
1573
#28
122.90.1
122.7122.8
Auto17.1
Teleop87.2
End22.0
red by 5.0
117.90.4
116.5116.8
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1