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Red100
195485.2
3065139.8
708395.2
Blue381
4320127.4
6230117.9
5987165.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273170100200400500100381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#30
139.80.6
145.8146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop105.0
End15.4
blue by 25.5
165.31.6
143.5145.1
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
Second
7083
#34
95.20.8
104.8104.0
Auto14.3
Teleop73.8
End5.9
blue by 32.2
4320
#25
127.41.0
122.9123.9
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Third
1954
#36
85.23.0
95.792.7
Auto13.4
Teleop75.0
End0.1
blue by 32.7
117.90.0
106.8106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed