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Red190
4320127.4
1573122.9
6168122.6
Blue389
5635146.6
5987165.3
4744118.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263357100200300400500600190389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#25
127.41.8
123.9125.7
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 37.8
165.32.3
145.1147.4
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
Second
1573
#28
122.90.6
121.1121.7
Auto17.1
Teleop87.2
End22.0
blue by 23.7
5635
#17
146.61.4
144.7146.1
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End11.1
Third
6168
#35
122.60.3
117.8118.2
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End12.4
red by 4.6
4744
#23
118.00.3
112.5112.8
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed