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Red303
1942144.9
3339164.5
2096130.8
Blue301
1937130.9
5715121.7
2231160.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327292100200400500600700303301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.51.1
145.8147.0
Auto29.0
Teleop121.8
End16.2
red by 4.2
2231
#14
160.20.8
159.0159.8
Auto23.0
Teleop127.0
End8.2
Second
1942
#20
144.91.8
143.6145.4
Auto19.2
Teleop104.4
End21.8
red by 14.0
1937
#22
130.90.8
127.1127.9
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
Third
2096
#12
130.80.6
131.5130.9
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End14.7
red by 9.1
121.70.7
112.0112.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed