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Red162
5987165.3
1942144.9
1573122.9
Blue405
3835164.8
7039128.1
5614167.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320316200250300350400450162405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.32.5
147.4149.9
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
blue by 2.2
167.50.9
155.5156.4
Auto22.3
Teleop125.3
End21.8
Second
1942
#20
144.90.3
146.9147.2
Auto19.2
Teleop104.4
End21.8
blue by 19.9
164.81.2
138.9140.1
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
Third
1573
#28
122.90.2
121.8122.0
Auto17.1
Teleop87.2
End22.0
blue by 5.2
7039
#10
128.11.2
108.5109.7
Auto17.1
Teleop100.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed