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Red209
728698.9
3388119.8
4320127.4
Blue244
2096130.8
466197.4
4744118.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772900100200400500209244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#25
127.40.8
126.7127.5
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 3.4
2096
#12
130.80.2
130.4130.3
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End14.7
Second
3388
#24
119.81.4
122.8121.3
Auto17.0
Teleop91.3
End13.2
red by 1.7
4744
#23
118.00.8
113.7114.4
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
Third
7286
#29
98.90.4
92.492.8
Auto15.5
Teleop70.7
End15.2
red by 1.6
4661
#27
97.40.5
96.496.9
Auto13.8
Teleop73.3
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed