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Red228
4338117.6
6168122.6
4757101.9
Blue355
4416132.4
3835164.8
1937130.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283160100200400500600228355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#35
122.60.2
117.0117.2
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End12.4
blue by 42.1
164.81.1
135.6136.6
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
Second
4338
#33
117.60.6
113.6114.3
Auto15.7
Teleop93.6
End10.8
blue by 14.8
4416
#16
132.41.8
115.5117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End12.9
Third
4757
#37
101.91.4
97.598.9
Auto14.9
Teleop80.2
End11.1
blue by 29.0
1937
#22
130.90.3
126.1126.3
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed