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Red454
2231160.2
1577183.8
466197.4
Blue181
2630175.8
3065139.8
5554152.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313343100200400500600454181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.80.9
170.7171.6
Auto23.8
Teleop133.4
End30.0
red by 8.0
175.81.8
157.4159.1
Auto20.2
Teleop135.3
End22.9
Second
2231
#14
160.21.2
160.6161.8
Auto23.0
Teleop127.0
End8.2
red by 8.2
152.02.0
145.7147.8
Auto17.3
Teleop108.8
End26.5
Third
4661
#27
97.40.2
96.997.2
Auto13.8
Teleop73.3
End10.6
blue by 42.4
3065
#30
139.80.1
145.1145.0
Auto18.7
Teleop105.0
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed