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Red374
1937130.9
5928114.3
5635146.6
Blue201
4338117.6
4744118.0
3065139.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304297150200250350400450374201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#17
146.60.5
150.0150.4
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End11.1
red by 6.8
3065
#30
139.81.2
145.0143.8
Auto18.7
Teleop105.0
End15.4
Second
1937
#22
130.90.2
129.4129.2
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
red by 12.9
4744
#23
118.00.4
114.4114.9
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
Third
5928
#15
114.30.6
103.7104.3
Auto15.4
Teleop89.7
End14.1
blue by 3.3
4338
#33
117.61.1
116.5117.6
Auto15.7
Teleop93.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed