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Red362
478493.5
2630175.8
3339164.5
Blue293
2096130.8
3211130.4
3835164.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276297100150200250350400450500362293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.3
159.3159.6
Auto20.2
Teleop135.3
End22.9
red by 11.1
164.82.8
145.3148.1
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
Second
164.50.7
149.7150.4
Auto29.0
Teleop121.8
End16.2
red by 33.7
2096
#12
130.80.7
129.9129.3
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End14.7
Third
4784
#26
93.51.8
94.392.6
Auto16.2
Teleop74.1
End2.3
blue by 36.9
3211
#18
130.41.8
134.8133.0
Auto21.9
Teleop95.3
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed