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Red166
5635146.6
4416132.4
466197.4
Blue81
708395.2
4744118.0
5951136.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33825810020030040050060016681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#17
146.61.0
150.4151.4
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End11.1
red by 10.4
5951
#19
136.30.5
135.3135.8
Auto17.1
Teleop107.5
End12.1
Second
4416
#16
132.42.6
128.2130.8
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End12.9
red by 14.4
4744
#23
118.00.1
114.9115.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
Third
4661
#27
97.41.0
97.298.2
Auto13.8
Teleop73.3
End10.6
red by 2.1
7083
#34
95.20.2
100.5100.4
Auto14.3
Teleop73.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed