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Red384
5715121.7
3835164.8
6230117.9
Blue151
1944102.2
5635146.6
3065139.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316295200250350400450500384151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.82.7
148.1150.8
Auto20.6
Teleop125.9
End20.7
red by 18.1
5635
#17
146.60.2
151.4151.2
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End11.1
Second
121.71.1
115.2116.2
Auto19.1
Teleop93.7
End11.4
blue by 18.0
3065
#30
139.80.6
142.4141.8
Auto18.7
Teleop105.0
End15.4
Third
117.90.7
112.2112.9
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
red by 15.7
1944
#21
102.21.8
96.498.3
Auto14.3
Teleop76.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed