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Red172
6168122.6
1937130.9
3211130.4
Blue292
5038127.7
708395.2
3388119.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142420100200400500172292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#22
130.90.4
129.7130.0
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
red by 3.2
5038
#13
127.70.3
125.7126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop102.0
End11.1
Second
3211
#18
130.41.0
133.0132.1
Auto21.9
Teleop95.3
End13.9
red by 10.7
3388
#24
119.81.0
119.5118.5
Auto17.0
Teleop91.3
End13.2
Third
6168
#35
122.61.3
120.2121.5
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End12.4
red by 27.4
7083
#34
95.21.2
100.499.2
Auto14.3
Teleop73.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed