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Red321
4744118.0
4757101.9
2630175.8
Blue331
478493.5
5987165.3
1944102.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092390100200400500600321331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.82.2
160.8163.0
Auto20.2
Teleop135.3
End22.9
red by 10.5
165.31.2
154.4155.5
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
Second
4744
#23
118.01.0
115.0114.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
red by 15.8
1944
#21
102.20.9
98.399.2
Auto14.3
Teleop76.3
End14.8
Third
4757
#37
101.91.1
103.3102.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.2
End11.1
red by 8.3
4784
#26
93.50.6
92.692.0
Auto16.2
Teleop74.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed