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Red315
3211130.4
466197.4
5987165.3
Blue314
3339164.5
1573122.9
5928114.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992710100200400500600315314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.31.7
141.8143.5
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
red by 0.8
164.50.1
145.2145.1
Auto29.0
Teleop121.8
End16.2
Second
3211
#18
130.40.8
134.8134.0
Auto21.9
Teleop95.3
End13.9
red by 7.5
1573
#28
122.90.8
118.9119.7
Auto17.1
Teleop87.2
End22.0
Third
4661
#27
97.41.5
98.797.2
Auto13.8
Teleop73.3
End10.6
blue by 16.9
5928
#15
114.31.8
110.1108.3
Auto15.4
Teleop89.7
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed