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Red463
3388119.8
5715121.7
1577183.8
Blue292
5614167.5
4338117.6
478493.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442570100200300400500600463292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.81.7
175.2176.9
Auto23.8
Teleop133.4
End30.0
red by 16.3
167.51.0
163.7164.7
Auto22.3
Teleop125.3
End21.8
Second
121.70.4
118.5118.9
Auto19.1
Teleop93.7
End11.4
red by 4.1
4338
#33
117.60.6
118.4117.9
Auto15.7
Teleop93.6
End10.8
Third
3388
#24
119.80.2
118.0118.2
Auto17.0
Teleop91.3
End13.2
red by 26.2
4784
#26
93.50.7
92.192.8
Auto16.2
Teleop74.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed