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Red345
2096130.8
6230117.9
5554152.0
Blue322
6168122.6
730299.9
5987165.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308301150200250350400345322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.00.8
148.7149.5
Auto17.3
Teleop108.8
End26.5
blue by 13.3
165.32.1
157.2159.3
Auto23.1
Teleop128.0
End16.6
Second
2096
#12
130.80.4
129.0129.4
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End14.7
red by 8.2
6168
#35
122.60.4
121.9122.3
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End12.4
Third
117.90.9
114.0114.9
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
red by 18.1
7302
#38
99.91.6
102.8101.2
Auto15.4
Teleop77.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed