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Red355
1937130.9
6739107.0
5614167.5
Blue113
5635146.6
478493.5
4320127.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337270100200300400500600355113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.51.0
164.7165.7
Auto22.3
Teleop125.3
End21.8
red by 20.9
5635
#17
146.61.4
149.6148.2
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End11.1
Second
1937
#22
130.90.7
130.1130.9
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
red by 3.5
4320
#25
127.40.2
129.2129.0
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Third
6739
#32
107.00.3
106.7107.0
Auto15.0
Teleop82.0
End12.1
red by 13.5
4784
#26
93.50.7
92.893.5
Auto16.2
Teleop74.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed