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Red249
1577183.8
4744118.0
6230117.9
Blue242
7039128.1
4757101.9
1937130.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341239100200300400500600700249242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.82.3
165.0167.3
Auto23.8
Teleop133.4
End30.0
red by 53.0
1937
#22
130.90.8
126.3127.1
Auto17.1
Teleop100.3
End14.4
Second
4744
#23
118.01.3
111.2112.5
Auto17.4
Teleop87.0
End15.0
blue by 10.1
7039
#10
128.11.0
107.3108.3
Auto17.1
Teleop100.7
End15.8
Third
117.90.9
105.9106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop96.4
End6.1
red by 16.1
4757
#37
101.91.4
98.9100.3
Auto14.9
Teleop80.2
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed