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Red308
3647162.8
589117.0
7157113.6
Blue135
3473142.3
5851118.8
4014132.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332295100200400500600700308135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
Unranked
162.80.0
162.8162.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 20.5
3473
Unranked
142.30.0
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Second
589
Unranked
117.00.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
blue by 15.8
4014
Unranked
132.90.0
132.9132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
Third
7157
Unranked
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
blue by 5.2
5851
Unranked
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds